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    Archive for June 17th, 2008

    No ties in Korean baseball

    Posted by japanstats on 2008 June 17日 Tuesday

    From JoongAng Daily, KBO has virtually eliminated tied games starting this season, unlike Japan’s NPB where ties aren’t uncommon.

    Last Thursday, the Woori Heroes edged out the Kia Tigers 2-1 in the bottom of the 14th inning. The game began at 6:32 p.m. and ended at 12:49 a.m. 

    With a 55-minute rain delay in between, the official elapsed time was five hours and 22 minutes. It was the first KBO game ever to end after midnight and the longest game of this season by nine minutes. There were close to 7,000 fans on hand at the beginning of the game at Mokdong Stadium in western Seoul but fewer than 1,000 stayed on until Kang Jung-ho’s walk-off single in the 14th. 

    Starting this season, the KBO abolished the tying rule, whereby a tie would be called after 12 innings in the regular season and 15 innings in playoffs. Ties will still be allowed, however, if a tie game is rained out after five innings or if teams are tied after nine innings of the first game of a double header.

    Hmm.. I’ve of two minds about ties. On one hand, the baseball (and North American sports) tradition of playing endless extra innings (and overtime) until a winner is decided is charming (maybe not quite the right word  😛  ) 

    But the obsession with eliminating ties brought in the stupid shootout in the NHL. Are ties that evil? Of course, with the NHL, you can’t have the playoff style endless overtime during the regular season because the sport is so taxing on the body, but really, what’s wrong with a draw at the end of hockey or football (soccer or gridiron) matches? (Basketball is a high enough scoring sport that it’s easy to break ties in overtime.)

    So, we return to baseball in Asia. Although it’s fun to see how managers deal with never ending extra inning games, and to see the hardcore fans sticking it out, at the same time I don’t feel that ties in regular season baseball are an abomination. Maybe this is because of my exposure to non-North American sports leagues and my hatred for NHL shootouts to break up ties (Asia League Ice Hockey, thankfully, doesn’t use shootouts and accepts ties after 5 minutes of OT). There can be well fought out ties, it’s not always a matter of just settling for them.

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    Posted in 02_English, Asia League Ice Hockey, baseball, culture, football, hockey, information, MLB, NFL, NHL, NPB, opinion, soccer | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

    2008.6.16 NPB Update

    Posted by japanstats on 2008 June 17日 Tuesday

    Yeah, I know this is a couple of days late, but these numbers are only missing the Eagles-Giants game yesterday.

    Let’s look at the Central League first:

    Hanshin remain strong, both in the real life standings and in Pythagorean win expectations based on runs scored and runs against. But I’m starting to think that maybe the Tigers record is inflated due to the unusually weak CL this year. With interleague play almost finished CL teams have gone 53-67 against their PL counterparts so far, but then again maybe this is mostly the fault of the pathetic Yokohama BayStars who are 3-17 in interleague and sport a 16-44-1 (.267) record overall. The utter incompetence of the BayStars are probably helping other CL teams look more respectable, and tipping the balance in favour of the PL. With the slumping and injured Giants, the race for 3rd and last playoff spot in the CL is a three horse race between Yomiuri, Carp, and Swallows. (The Swallows getting it done on defence is a bit of a surprise as that’s not typically talked about.) The Dragons are doing about as well as expected, no better no less, but they are much stronger now with Kawakami back in full force.

     

    Now onto the Pacific League: 

    The Lions continue their dominance, but the reliance on the long ball didn’t work against the Tigers as the king of the jungle lost 3 out of 4, getting outplayed by a much better balanced Les Tigres team full of on base monsters (Arai, Akahoshi, and Kanemoto lead the CL, with all three OBPing over .400 and Toritani is no slouch either at .370) and killer relievers in JFK+Watanabe which makes their games 5-6 inning games. So, the Lions fortunes come October may not be so bright as they play Yankee style big ball susceptible to opposition pitching in the playoffs which usually only consist of aces.

    I’m beginning to think that the ultra-low scoring Fighters getting it done almost entirely on pitching, defence, and the cavernous Sapporo Dome last year was not a fluke, as they continue to outperform their Pythag expectations (with the staggering .718 Defensive Efficiency, far and away the best in the PL and NPB), winning one close game after another (they’re like the winning version of the Padres in this regard). 

    The Eagles are for real, they’re getting it done both with hitting, pitching, and defence (they, in fact, have the highest Pythag win% in NPB!), I expect them to pull ahead of the Hawks to secure themselves a playoff position and battle the Fighters for 2nd place.

    Posted in 02_English, baseball, information, NPB, opinion, Sabermetrics, statistics, tokyo | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »